"The Lightning have been favored on the moneyline 41 times this season, and have gone 26-15 in those games. In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -220 or shorter, Tampa Bay has gone 3-1 (winning 75.0%). Based on this contest's moneyline, the Lightning have an implied win probability of 68.8%. Tampa Bay and its opponent have gone over 6 combined goals in 27 of 52 games this season."
"This season the Bruins have been an underdog 37 times, and won 20, or 54.1%, of those games. Boston has not won as the underdog of +180 or more on the moneyline this season in three such games. Sportsbooks have implied, given the moneyline set for this matchup, that the Bruins have a 35.7% chance to win. Boston has combined with its opponent to score over 6 goals in 32 of 55 games this season."
Tampa Bay enters the Feb. 1 home matchup as a -220 moneyline favorite versus Boston, giving the Lightning an implied 68.8% chance to win. The Lightning have been favorites 41 times this season, compiling a 26-15 record, and are 3-1 when listed at -220 or shorter. Tampa Bay contests have exceeded six combined goals in 27 of 52 games. The Bruins have been underdogs 37 times, winning 20 (54.1%), but are 0-3 as underdogs of +180 or longer this season. Injuries affect both clubs, and the recommended play is Lightning on the moneyline and the over 6 goals.
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