"Pick OU: Over 5.5 (Computer projecting 6.2 goals) Tampa Bay's games this season have finished above this matchup's total of 5.5 total goals 27 times. Boston has played 32 games this season that ended with over 5.5 total goals. These teams combine to score 6.8 goals per matchup, 1.3 more than this game's over/under. These teams allow 5.6 goals per game combined, 0.1 more than this game's total."
"Prediction: Tampa Bay 4 - Boston 3 Moneyline: Lightning (-210), Bruins (+172) The Lightning have won 63.4% of their games when favored on the moneyline this season (26-15). Tampa Bay is 4-1 (winning 80.0% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -210 or shorter. The Bruins have claimed an upset victory in 21, or 55.3%, of the 38 games they have played as an underdog this season. Boston is 1-3 when it is underdogs of +172 or longer on the moneyline."
Pick the over 5.5 goals; the computer projects 6.2 goals. Tampa Bay's games have finished above 5.5 total goals 27 times this season, and Boston has had 32 games that ended with over 5.5 total goals. The teams combine to score 6.8 goals per matchup and allow 5.6 goals per game combined. The prediction is Tampa Bay 4, Boston 3, with the Lightning favored at -210 on the moneyline and the Bruins at +172. Tampa Bay has won 63.4% of games when favored; Boston is 1-3 when +172 or longer. Game time is Feb. 1, 2026, 6:30 p.m. ET on ESPN at Raymond James Stadium.
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