"The Lightning have been a moneyline favorite 50 times this season, and have finished 31-19 in those games. Tampa Bay has gone 3-1 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -246 or shorter (75.0% win percentage). The Lightning have a 71.1% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability."
"This season the Blue Jackets have won 13 of the 37 games, or 35.1%, in which they've been an underdog. Columbus has played as an underdog of +201 or more one time this season and lost. The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 33.2% chance of victory for the Blue Jackets."
"We predict the Lightning (-246 on the moneyline) to score the win over the Blue Jackets (+201 on the moneyline). For the over/under, we pick the under at 6.5 goals."
The Tampa Bay Lightning face the Columbus Blue Jackets on Tuesday, March 10, 2026, at 7 p.m. ET in Tampa. The Lightning are significant moneyline favorites at -246, implying a 71.1% chance of victory, while the Blue Jackets are +201 underdogs with a 33.2% win probability. Tampa Bay has performed well as a favorite this season, going 31-19 in 50 games as moneyline favorites and 3-1 specifically at -246 or shorter odds. Columbus has won only 35.1% of their underdog games this season. The prediction favors Tampa Bay to win with the total going under 6.5 goals. Both teams have injury concerns affecting their rosters.
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