The Phoenix Mercury (2-6) visit the New York Liberty (4-4) at Barclays Center on May 29, 2026. The Mercury are seeking to stop a three-game road losing streak. The Liberty have covered the spread three times this season, while the Mercury have covered three times against the spread. The Liberty are 2-4 as at least 6.5-point favorites, and the Mercury are 1-0 against the spread as at least 6.5-point underdogs. The Over 168.5 is supported by both teams’ scoring patterns, with combined points averaging 173.6 per game. The Liberty are favored on the moneyline at -227, implying a 69.4% win probability.
"Pick the Mercury (+6.5) to Cover The Liberty have covered the spread three times this season (3-5-0). The Mercury are 3-5-0 against the spread this year. The Liberty have an ATS record of 2-4 when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites. The Mercury have a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 6.5-point underdogs."
"Take the Over (168.5) In four games this season, the Liberty and their opponents have scored more than 168.5 total points. The Mercury have played five games this season that finished with a combined score over 168.5 points. These teams score a combined 173.6 points per game, 5.1 more points than this matchup's total. Combined, these teams surrender 171.7 points per game, 3.2 more points than this matchup's total."
"Back the Liberty on the Moneyline (-227) The Liberty have gone 4-4 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 50% of those games). The Mercury have been underdogs in four games this season and won one (25%) of those contests. When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -227 or shorter, the Liberty have gone 3-4 (42.9%). Based on this contest's moneyline, the Liberty have an implied win probability of 69.4%."
Read at Bleacher Nation
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