"The Knicks have played 41 games with more than 216.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, this season. The Rockets have played in 30 games this season (55.6% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 216.5 points. The Knicks and the Rockets combine to average 15.9 more points per game than the over/under of 216.5 set for this game."
"The Knicks have won in 31, or 68.9%, of the 45 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. The Rockets are 3-2 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 60% of those games). The Knicks have a mark of 28-10 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -164 or better on the moneyline."
The Rockets (34-20) are 3.5-point underdogs at the New York Knicks (35-21) on Saturday, February 21, 2026 at Madison Square Garden with tip at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC. The game over/under is 216.5 points. Computer-based recommendations favor the Rockets +3.5 to cover, noting a 3-1 ATS record as underdogs of 3.5 or more despite a 23-31 ATS season mark. The model also projects the over, given the Knicks exceeded 216.5 in 41 games and the Rockets in 30 games. The Knicks are favored on the moneyline (-164) based on odds-on favorite performance.
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