"The Islanders are 7-9 when favored on the moneyline this season. New York is 7-9 (winning 43.8% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -115 or shorter. Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Islanders have an implied win probability of 53.5%. New York's 50 matches this season have finished above this game's total of 6 goals 25 times."
"This season the Sabres have won 14 of the 26 games, or 53.8%, in which they've been an underdog. Buffalo has entered 25 games this season as an underdog by -105 or more and is 13-12 in those contests. The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 51.2% chance of victory for the Sabres. Buffalo has played 32 games this season that ended with more than 6 goals."
The New York Islanders host the Buffalo Sabres at UBS Arena in Elmont on Saturday. Sportsbooks list the Islanders at -115 and the Sabres at -105 on the moneyline, implying roughly 53.5% and 51.2% win probabilities respectively. New York is 7-9 when favored this season and has exceeded a 6-goal total 25 times in 50 games. Buffalo is 13-12 as an underdog by -105 or more and has had 32 games finish with more than six goals. Multiple players from both teams are listed as out or day-to-day, and the matchup projection favors the Islanders with a preference for the over at six goals.
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