"Illinois is 7-7 against the spread when favored by 10.5 points or more this season. Indiana is a perfect 1-0 against the spread when an underdog by 10.5 points or more this season. Between them, these two teams average 14.7 more points per game (166.2) than this matchup's total (151.5). Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 140.3 points per game, 11.2 fewer than the point total for this game."
"Illinois is outscoring opponents by 15.8 points per game with a +396 scoring differential overall. It puts up 84.7 points per game (27th in college basketball) and allows 68.9 per outing (61st in college basketball). Illinois is fifth in the country at 38.4 rebounds per game. That's 10.2 more than the 28.2 its opponents average. The Fighting Illini hit 11.3 three-pointers per game (ninth-most in college basketball), 2.8 more than their opponents (8.5). They are shooting 36.1% from deep (62nd in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 32%."
Illinois (20-5, 11-3 Big Ten) hosts Indiana (17-8, 8-6 Big Ten) on Sunday, February 15, 2026 at 1 p.m. ET with Illinois favored by 10.5 points and the over/under set at 151.5. Illinois is 15-10-0 against the spread and averages 84.7 points while allowing 68.9, producing a +396 scoring differential and a +15.8 scoring margin. Illinois averages 38.4 rebounds and 11.3 three-pointers per game. Indiana is 13-12-0 ATS this season. Combined scoring and opponent-scoring trends exceed the listed total, and Illinois rates 109.6 points per 100 possessions while allowing 89.1.
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