"Duke has played several top-15 teams in adjusted defensive efficiency, and the totals have been way higher than this one. Against Kansas the total was 148.5. Against Florida it was 156.5."
"We are now at least seven points lower than every single one of those totals against a UConn defense that profiles similarly to all the other opponents. That math isn't mathing for me."
"For Michigan to lose this game, two things must happen. They must shoot less than 45% from the field and their opponent must shoot better than 45% from the field."
The 2026 men's basketball tournament round of eight features matchups between 1-seed Michigan and 6-seed Tennessee, and 1-seed Duke against 2-seed UConn. Duke's first half total is projected at over 62.5, suggesting an over-correction in scoring expectations. Historical performance indicates Duke has consistently faced higher totals against similar defensive teams. For Michigan to lose against Tennessee, they must shoot poorly while Tennessee must excel offensively, a scenario that has rarely occurred this season.
Read at ESPN.com
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