"The Golden Knights are 23-21 when favored on the moneyline this season. Vegas is 14-13 (winning 51.9% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -147 or shorter. The Golden Knights have an implied moneyline win probability of 59.5% in this contest. Vegas' 50 matches this season have finished above this game's total of 6.5 goals 26 times."
"The Senators have been an underdog in 14 games this season, and won four (28.6%). Ottawa has entered five games this season as an underdog by +123 or more and is 2-3 in those contests. The moneyline set for this matchup implies a 44.8% chance of victory for the Senators. Ottawa's games this season have had more than 6.5 goals 27 of 51 times."
Sportsbooks list the Vegas Golden Knights as -147 moneyline favorites and the Ottawa Senators as +123 underdogs for the matchup at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa. Vegas has been 23-21 when favored this season and holds an implied 59.5% win probability for this game; 26 of Vegas' 50 matches exceeded 6.5 goals. Ottawa has been an underdog in 14 games, winning four, and its implied win probability here is 44.8%; 27 of Ottawa's 51 games exceeded 6.5 goals. Multiple key players are listed out on both injury reports, and the projected pick favors Ottawa to win with the total going under 6.5 goals.
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