"Duke outscores opponents by 20.1 points per game (scoring 83 per game to rank 44th in college basketball while giving up 62.9 per contest to rank third in college basketball) and has a +564 scoring differential overall."
"Duke wins the rebound battle by 10.7 boards on average. It collects 37.2 rebounds per game, which ranks 16th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 26.5 per outing."
"The Blue Devils and the Cavaliers combine to average 25.8 more points per game than the over/under of 139.5 set for this matchup."
The No. 11 Virginia Cavaliers (25-3, 13-2 ACC) travel to face the No. 1 Duke Blue Devils (26-2, 14-1 ACC) on Saturday, February 28, 2026, at 12 p.m. ET. Virginia enters as 10.5-point underdogs while attempting to extend a nine-game win streak. Duke has won five consecutive games and maintains a +564 scoring differential, outscoring opponents by 20.1 points per game. The Blue Devils rank third in defense, allowing 62.9 points per game, while scoring 83 points per game. Duke dominates the rebounding battle, averaging 10.7 more boards than opponents. The over/under is set at 139.5 points. Both teams have struggled against the spread this season, with Duke at 16-12 and Virginia at 15-13.
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