"The Canadiens have won 53.5% of their games this season when favored on the moneyline (23-20). When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -141 or shorter, Montreal has a record of 11-8 (winning 57.9%). The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Canadiens a 58.5% chance to win. In 57 of 92 matches this season, Montreal and its opponent have combined for more than 6 goals."
"The Sabres have been listed as an underdog 41 times this season, and won 25, or 61.0%, of those games. Buffalo has entered 19 games this season as the underdog by +118 or more and is 10-9 in those contests. The moneyline for this matchup implies a 45.9% chance of victory for the Sabres. Buffalo has combined with its opponent to score over 6 goals in 56 of 91 games this season."
"Canadiens: Patrik Laine: Abdomen (Out). Sabres: Justin Danforth: Kneecap (Out For Season), Noah Ostlund: Lower Body (Out), Jiri Kulich: Ear (Out For Season). Canadiens vs. Sabres Prediction and Pick. We anticipate the Canadiens (-141 on the moneyline) to emerge victorious against the Sabres (+118 on the moneyline). As for the total, we pick the over at 6 goals."
Game 4 of the NHL Playoffs Second Round at Bell Centre on May 12 features the Montreal Canadiens and Buffalo Sabres at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN, with Montreal leading the series 2-1. Montreal has won 53.5% of games when favored on the moneyline, going 11-8 when priced at -141 or shorter, and the matchup implies a 58.5% win probability. Buffalo has won 61.0% of games as an underdog and the matchup implies a 45.9% win probability for the Sabres. Montreal and opponents have exceeded six combined goals in 57 of 92 games, while Buffalo and opponents have done so in 56 of 91. Injuries include Patrik Laine out for Montreal and multiple long-term absences for Buffalo. The pick is Canadiens on the moneyline and the over at six goals.
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