"The Canadiens are 14-11 this season when favored on the moneyline. When playing with moneyline odds of -150 or shorter, Montreal is 7-3 (winning 70.0% of the time). The Islanders have been the underdog 35 times this season, and upset their opponent in 20, or 57.1%, of those games."
"Montreal and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in 33 of 57 games this season. New York has played 24 games this season that finished with more than 6.5 total goals. The two teams average 6.3 goals per game combined, 0.2 fewer than the total for this contest."
"New York has won nine of its 13 games when it is the underdog by +125 or longer on the moneyline. Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Computer projecting 6.3 goals). Prediction: Montreal 4 - New York 3."
The Montreal Canadiens host the New York Islanders on Thursday at Bell Centre with Montreal favored on the moneyline at -150 odds versus New York's +125 underdog odds. Computer projections estimate 6.3 combined goals, suggesting an under 6.5 wager. Montreal has won 70% of games when favored at -150 or shorter odds this season, while the Islanders have upset opponents in 57.1% of their 35 underdog situations. The two teams average 6.3 combined goals per game, slightly below the 6.5 total line. New York has won nine of 13 games as an underdog by +125 or longer, indicating competitive underdog value.
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