Colorado and Vegas meet in Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Semifinals at Ball Arena on May 20 at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN. Colorado holds a 63-27 record when favored on the moneyline and is 33-12 as a moneyline favorite at odds of -194 or shorter, implying a 73.3% win rate. The moneyline implies Colorado has a 66.0% chance to win, and 50 of 91 games finished above a 6-goal total. Vegas is 7-10 as an underdog and has a 38.5% implied win probability. The Golden Knights have combined with opponents to score over 6 goals in 55 of 94 games. Injuries include Artturi Lehkonen and Sam Malinski day-to-day for Colorado, and Jeremy Lauzon out with Mark Stone day-to-day for Vegas.
"We expect the Avalanche (-194 on the moneyline) to emerge victorious against the Golden Knights (+160 on the moneyline). Based on our analysis of this matchup's historical data, we recommend betting on the over at 6 goals."
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