"Thanks to the same CBA rules that damned the White Sox for the 2025 MLB Draft, baseball's worst team - the Colorado Rockies - will be ineligible to pick in the lottery next season. They'll be saddled with the 10th overall pick regardless of how they finish. The Washington Nationals, while not as bad as the Rockies, are in the same boat. That leaves the White Sox, Pirates, and Twins as the three teams with the top odds to get No. 1 overall."
"Since Pittsburgh is 8.5 games better than the White Sox with around 35 to play, the White Sox should be guaranteed the best odds - a 16.5 percent chance of getting the first overall pick while unable to pick lower than 7th. That's a huge win for the rebuild, but White Sox fans need to prepare themselves for a world in which the South Siders don't get the No. 1 pick. History tells us that they probably won't end up with it."
"Only once since the draft lottery began in 2022has a team with the top odds successfully landed the No. 1 overall pick. That was the Pirates during the 2023 MLB Draft. The Pirates were tied with the Nationals and A's for the top odds (16.5 percent each) as the teams with the three worst records in 2022. For what it's worth, the Pirates had the best record of those three."
The Chicago White Sox sit at 45-83 after a recent 3-12 stretch, projecting as the second-worst record in MLB and the worst in the American League. The Colorado Rockies are barred from the draft lottery under the same CBA rules and will receive the 10th overall pick; the Washington Nationals face the same restriction. That leaves the White Sox, Pirates, and Twins with the top lottery odds. The White Sox hold a 16.5 percent chance at the No. 1 pick and cannot pick lower than seventh. Historical lottery outcomes indicate teams with top odds rarely land the top pick.
Read at Southside Showdown
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