"The new projection stems from institutional Bitcoin ( ) buying being slower than expected. Capital is arriving through Bitcoin ETF inflows but on measured allocation after the initial surge. The revised Standard Chartered Bitcoin prediction marks a change in tempo rather than direction-the bank's long-term Bitcoin $500K target remains but has been pushed to 2030, reflecting institutional reality rather than weakening conviction."
"Bitcoin ETFs now hold approximately $124 billion, with institutions making up roughly a quarter of that base. These Bitcoin ETF flows show commitment and patience as pension funds, endowments, and sovereign allocators move through approval cycles that span quarters and years. They build exposure steadily and avoid concentrated entry points. Geoffrey Kendrick , Standard Chartered's global head of digital assets research, has been clear on this shift in Bitcoin ETF flows."
Standard Chartered cut its 2026 Bitcoin forecast from $300,000 to $150,000, lowering expected 12‑month upside to 68% from 237%. The reduction reflects slower-than-expected institutional deployment into Bitcoin despite persistent ETF inflows. Bitcoin ETFs hold about $124 billion, with institutions representing roughly a quarter of that base and building allocations slowly through multi-quarter approval cycles. The bank retains a long-term $500K target but moved the timing to 2030. The outlook shifts to a slower, steadier compounding path as supply tightens and institutions accumulate methodically, smoothing price action and reducing sharp vertical moves.
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