Momentum Strategy Delivered 506% Returns but Now There Are Warning Signs
Briefly

Momentum Strategy Delivered 506% Returns but Now There Are Warning Signs
"Mid-cap stocks occupy an overlooked space between small-cap volatility and large-cap stability, and Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum ETF (NYSEARCA:XMMO) attempts to exploit this inefficiency by isolating the top 20% of momentum performers from the S&P MidCap 400 Index. The fund targets companies showing strong relative price performance, aiming to capture continued upward movement before broader markets recognize the trend. With $5.2 billion in assets and a 0.35% expense ratio, XMMO delivers concentrated exposure to mid-cap winners at a reasonable cost."
"XMMO's long-term track record validates the momentum strategy, with 506.4% gains over ten years crushing 215.48% for SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (NYSEARCA:MDY). This outperformance stems from systematically capturing mid-cap stocks during their strongest price trends. However, momentum's edge has narrowed recently-XMMO's 14.82% one-year return barely exceeds MDY's 12.69%. A December 2025 Seeking Alpha analysis warned that index reconstitution degraded portfolio quality through elevated valuations."
XMMO selects the top 20% momentum performers from the S&P MidCap 400 to concentrate exposure on mid-cap stocks exhibiting strong relative price performance. The ETF targets companies with persistent upward price trends, aiming to capture continued gains before broader markets respond. XMMO holds $5.2 billion in assets and charges a 0.35% expense ratio, offering a cost-effective way to overweight momentum within a mid-cap allocation. Top holdings include Ciena, Lumentum and Curtiss-Wright, and the fund is significantly allocated to Industrials where momentum benefits from infrastructure and data-center investment. Recent performance shows narrowing outperformance and elevated valuation risk after index reconstitution.
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