Live: Will CrowdStrike Beat Q4 Earnings Tonight?
Briefly

Live: Will CrowdStrike Beat Q4 Earnings Tonight?
"In Q3 FY2026, CrowdStrike posted record net new ARR of $265 million, accelerating 73% year-over-year, and ending ARR reached $4.92B. Revenue came in at $1.234B, a slight beat versus estimates, EPS of $0.96 was also a slight beat."
"Management guided for at least 50% net new ARR growth year-over-year for H2 FY2026. Q3 already delivered 73%. Investors want to see Q4 confirm that demand recovery is durable, not a one-quarter spike."
"Consensus at $1.32B sits above the high end of management's own $1.29B to $1.30B range. Any result at or above consensus would signal CrowdStrike sandbagged guidance again, consistent with its eight consecutive quarters of EPS beats."
CrowdStrike reports Q4 FY2026 earnings on March 3, 2026, with consensus revenue expectations at $1.32B, above management's guided range of $1.29B-$1.30B. The company demonstrated strong Q3 performance with record net new ARR of $265 million, accelerating 73% year-over-year, and ending ARR of $4.92B. Despite this momentum, shares declined 16% year-to-date to $393, pressured by AI competition concerns, though recovered 12% in the past week. Key focus areas include confirming Q4 net new ARR growth sustainability, revenue performance relative to guidance, FY2027 guidance framing with 20% net new ARR growth flagged, and prediction market confidence showing 94% probability of a beat.
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