"2025 in a sentence: Bello had a solid year, but his strikeouts were down, the ball was in play, and he struggled late in the season. Sonny Gray's season line would lead many to believe he's a bottom-of-the-rotation pitcher, when the underlying numbers tell a better story. Brayan Bello's season line, on the other hand, paints him in a more positive light than a look under the hood."
"In 29 appearances (28 starts and 1 weird five-inning appearance to resume a rain-delayed game), Bello posted a career-best 3.35 ERA. That mark was the ninth-best in the American League among qualifiers. At the same time, his K-BB%, one of the best predictors of future performance, was 48th of 52 qualifiers. Most public projection systems have Bello's 2026 ERA somewhere between 4.00 and 4.50."
"We'll start with the good. Bello throws a 95 mph sinker that reached up to 99 mph at times. He uses it 50% of the time against righties, and there's not a ton they can do with it. It has 18 inches of horizontal break; he gets it in on righties' hands well, and induces tons of weak contact as a result."
Tier three comprises Brayan Bello and Johan Oviedo, pitchers who have major-league experience but unfinished development and high upside with a low floor. Bello produced a career-best 3.35 ERA in 29 appearances (28 starts and a rain-resume outing), ranking ninth among American League qualifiers. Strikeouts declined, contact increased, and he showed late-season trouble. His K-BB% ranked 48th of 52 qualifiers, and public projections place his 2026 ERA between roughly 4.00 and 4.50. Bello leans on a heavy 95 mph sinker—occasionally 99 mph—thrown about half the time to right-handers, featuring roughly 18 inches of horizontal movement and generating abundant weak contact.
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