"If it seems weird that the Sox would do this merely to save $125,000 - which is the difference between the $8 million option and the $7.875 million they'll pay him if he hits his incentives - I agree! That is weird! What is going on here! The big question, of course, is what this deal means vis a vis a potential trade of Jarren Duan. The fact is, I don't think it means much,"
"1) Duran is under team control through 2028, which also makes him arbitration eligible in 2027 and 2028. So with three years of control, lowering his base salary this year also lowers how much it grows in future years. In other words, the Red Sox didn't just save $125,000, they probably saved a little over a million by doing this over the three years."
Jarren Duran received a reworked contract that pays $7.875 million with incentives instead of an $8 million option. The immediate savings of $125,000 also reduces future arbitration salary growth across the three remaining years of team control through 2028, yielding likely savings exceeding one million dollars over that span. The previous deal included an MVP-based escalator to $9 million if he finished in the top 20 in voting, a remote but not impossible outcome given his fWAR rank. Duran's camp likely accepted the structure because arbitration projections would not have returned the previous $8 million baseline.
Read at Over the Monster
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