"In those matchups, Crochet has had two meh starts (mostly due to the horrendous Boston defense in the first half of the season), and two Crochet-esque starts, but just the fact that they've seen his stuff so much already is a bit troubling for me. But to be fair, his xFIP against the Yankees this year is nearly a run and a half lower than his actual FIP, so perhaps my concerns will pass."
"Ben Rice. While it might be strange to be fearful of a catcher, he's already got four home runs against the Red Sox in his career, even if three came in the same game, to go with 11 RBIs. Plus, his "Yankees fan who grew up in Massachusetts" archetype is already so tired. He might be managing this Yankees team in two decades or so with one clutch hit in this series."
Jose Caballero could eclipse Anthony Volpe at shortstop, creating lineup and defensive uncertainty. The Yankees have seen Garrett Crochet four times, producing mixed outcomes, and his xFIP versus the Yankees is significantly lower than his FIP. Aaron Judge remains a major power threat whose postseason timing could swing outcomes. The short right-field porch favors the Yankees' lineup construction. Ben Rice has shown notable success versus the Red Sox and represents a dangerous, familiar profile. Middle relief and high stranded-runner totals threaten the Red Sox's ability to convert scoring chances. Offensive inconsistency since Anthony's injury remains a clear concern.
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