"As of this writing the Boston Red Sox, winners of four World Series championships since 2004 have not signed a single free agent for the 2026 season. They have, of course, made several trades but, but big question marks remain as we enter January, and Spring Training officially begins next month. So what better thing to do than take a few shots in the dark at the performance of the (in)complete roster Craig Breslow has assembled?"
"That's a very quick start to things with 6 playoff teams from 2025 and really only the Cardinals and Twins as any type of break during an extended "first month" of the season. This breaks down into four pods of games. Reds-Brewers you hope to play .500 or close to it. Even 5-7 knowing the Brewers and Padres are tough but the Astros and Reds are more uncertain. We'll bank five wins here."
"There is no break in the second full month of the season. The Red Sox will face: Astros (3), Tigers (3), Rays (4), Phillies (3), Braves (3), Royals (3), Twins (3), Braves (3), Guardians (3) over 28 games. Only the Tigers, Phillies, and Guardians made the playoffs in 2025 but 6 games against Atlanta, who will probably perform much better than last year, could make that four series aga"
The Boston Red Sox have not signed any free agents for 2026 and have relied on several trades while entering spring with an incomplete roster. The team opens with 31 March/April games against a mix of strong opponents including the Astros, Padres, Brewers, Yankees, Orioles, and Blue Jays. The early schedule is divided into pods where expected outcomes include about five wins against the first pod, five of six against St. Louis and Minnesota, two wins versus Detroit, and roughly four wins against the AL East group for a projected 16 wins through April. The second month features 28 games against heavier competition including Atlanta and the Rays, increasing uncertainty about overall early-season performance.
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