Who will win the Nobel Prize for Literature?

"Beyond the personal biases that can cloud judgment in these discussions, what do the betting houses say? According to Ladbrokes, the Chinese writer Can Xue and the Hungarian Laszlo Krasznahorkai are in the lead this year, followed by two Spanish-language authors, Mexican writer Cristina Rivera Garza and the Spaniard Enrique Vila-Matas, who are tied with the Australian Gerald Murnane, the Romanian Mircea Cartarescu, and the U.S. writer Thomas Pynchon."

"Cross-referencing odds from various bookmakers, as compiled by Nicerodds, places the Indian Amitav Ghosh at the top. In addition to the previously mentioned contenders, it highlights several other perennial favorites: the Japanese writer Haruki Murakami, British-American Salman Rushdie, Canadian poet Ann Carson, and the Antigua-born Jamaica Kincaid. Also ranked highly on the lists are Margaret Atwood, Lyudmila Ulitskaya, and Ersi Sotiropoulos."

Bookmakers and odds compilers name multiple frontrunners and perennial favorites for the Nobel Prize in Literature, with Ladbrokes favoring Can Xue and László Krasznahorkai. Cross-referenced odds compiled by Nicerodds place Amitav Ghosh at the top while also highlighting contenders such as Haruki Murakami, Salman Rushdie, Ann Carson, Jamaica Kincaid, Margaret Atwood, Lyudmila Ulitskaya, and Ersi Sotiropoulos. Geographic and political considerations could advantage candidates like the Syrian poet Adonis and Spanish-language writers, given the long gap since a Spanish-language laureate. If Amitav Ghosh wins, he would be the second Indian laureate after Rabindranath Tagore. The Swedish Academy emphasizes the prize's literary focus and uses a six-member jury chaired by Anders Olsson that rotates every three years; the 2025 jury includes Ellen Mattsson.

Read at english.elpais.com