2026 Beer Market Report: Moderate outlook for US beer market
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2026 Beer Market Report: Moderate outlook for US beer market
"Overall, the biggest challenge has been the decreased consumption as consumers shift outside of beer to RTDs and as they are moderating beer consumption more. We also saw macroeconomic headwinds and Hispanic consumers being impacted more, slowing the imported beer segment."
"We continue to see strong growth with the non-alcohol beer segment plus 22.1% in dollars this year and it has been increasing by over $100 million for the past few years. While it is still relatively small it continues to grow."
"These are the comparison of death by a 1,000 cuts due to numerous challenges and trends contributing to declines: moderation, blurring lines with ready-to-drink (RTD) products, GLP-1 usage, cannabis, changing generations, pack sizes, consumer confidence, health and wellness as well as economic factors."
The U.S. beverage alcohol market experienced a 3.4% decline in off-premise dollar sales for the 52 weeks ending January 3, 2026, totaling $110 billion. All major categories declined, including wine at 4.7%, spirits at 1.8%, and beer/FMBs/hard cider/hard seltzer at 3.7%. The beer market faces multiple challenges described as "death by a 1,000 cuts," including consumer moderation, competition from ready-to-drink products, GLP-1 medication usage, cannabis availability, generational shifts, changing pack sizes, consumer confidence issues, health and wellness trends, and macroeconomic headwinds. Hispanic consumers were particularly impacted, slowing the imported beer segment. However, non-alcoholic beer showed strong growth at 22.1% in dollars, increasing by over $100 million annually.
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