Atlanta's offense combines a dynamic running back in Bijan Robinson with an anticipated upgrade at quarterback in Michael Penix Jr., projecting significantly more scoring in 2025. Robinson has accumulated 3,350 yards from scrimmage, 23 total touchdowns, 158 targets in two seasons, and strong pass-blocking usage. Atlanta ranked fifth in rushing DVOA in 2024, providing a stable ground game foundation. Penix displayed aggressive downfield intent late in the season and averaged a 10.2 aDOT, indicating potential passing-game explosiveness. Kirk Cousins' advancing age and prior passing uncertainty raise expectations that Penix could unlock greater offensive efficiency.
Despite so much uncertainty around the passing game in recent seasons, Robinson has managed 3,350 yards from scrimmage and 23 total touchdowns. Robinson's value goes far beyond being a workhorse running back. He's a consistent part of the passing game with 158 targets over his first two seasons, and also brings significant value as a pass-blocking option. In fact, Los Angeles Rams starter Kyren Williams was the only running back in the NFL with more pass-blocking snaps than Bijan last season,
However, it's the passing game that should see a significant uptick in effectiveness in 2025 with Michael Penix Jr. becoming the full-time starter ahead of aging veteran Kirk Cousins. Penix was able to see the field at the tail end of last season, and his No. 1 goal appeared to be to just let it fly. Outside of Anthony Richardson, Penix had the highest average depth of target among quarterbacks last season, averaging a 10.2 aDOT.
The Cincinnati Bengals have become the face for high-scoring shootouts in the NFL, but it's the Atlanta Falcons that are the next team to potentially put up "Star Wars numbers" in 2025. Late Indianapolis Colts owner Jim Irsay coined the phrase " Star Wars numbers " during an interview discussing the Peyton Manning era of his franchise. The Hall of Fame quarterback, surrounded by an elite supporting cast, put up video game numbers in order to carry the Colts to wins,
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