Will the ball be even more drag-laden in 2026?
Briefly

Will the ball be even more drag-laden in 2026?
"Each dot is an average of the day's readings of drag, averaged across all games. The blue line is a rolling average. The higher the blue line, the draggier the ball, that is, the less far fly balls travel, on average."
"Drag has also increased year-over-year from 2023-onward, with a particularly big jump from 2024 to 2025. The jump from 2024 to 2025 was the highest in a single season since the correction began in 2021 vis-a-vis 2020."
"Through a few days, as seen on that page, drag in 2026 is (marginally) higher than in 2025. This has a problematic way of inserting itself into the context of the games played."
Drag in baseball has shown a significant increase year-over-year, particularly from 2024 to 2025, marking the highest-drag season recorded. The data indicates that drag changes throughout the season, likely due to different balls being introduced. The rolling average of drag suggests that the pattern is not influenced by weather. The 2026 season has started with marginally higher drag than 2025, continuing the trend observed in recent years. This increase in drag impacts game outcomes, as seen in recent matchups.
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