The Braves went 4-3 against the Marlins and Nationals, reflecting rising expectations as they sit near the top of MLB records. After strong results in Miami, they had a walkoff win at home but struggled to hit during a rain-soaked weekend. Since Drake Baldwin went on the shelf on May 19, the Braves rank 13th in wOBA and are near the bottom in xwOBA, with no player reaching .340 xwOBA and many below .300. The Braves then face the Red Sox in Boston after an off day. The Red Sox have had inconsistent results, with playoff odds dropping sharply, poor run production, and low wRC+ and xwOBA, despite top-tier defense and baserunning. Willson Contreras and Wilyer Abreu have performed well, but overall hitting has lagged.
"Boston's performance this season has been somewhat bizarre. Their 90th team wRC+ ranks third-worst in baseball; they have no wOBA-xwOBA gap and their .308 xwOBA is sixth-worst. They're top five in both defense and baserunning, but the hitting simply hasn't materialized, such that they're dead last in runs scored in MLB at the moment. Willson Contreras has been raking and Wilyer Abreu's been more than solid, but of their ten players that have 100-plus PAs so far,"
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