The Braves return to Atlanta for a four-game series against the Washington Nationals, who are having a rough season at 17-24. The Nationals' performance doesn't reflect their underlying metrics, as they rank high in xwOBA but are hindered by poor defense and bad luck on balls in play. The pitching matchup features Grant Holmes, who has struggled with a high home run rate, and Jake Irvin, who has past struggles against the Braves. Atlanta hopes to exploit Washington's issues for crucial wins this week.
The Nationals, despite sitting at 17-24, may not be as bad as their record suggests due to their top ten xwOBA, yet face issues with defense and luck.
Grant Holmes struggles with a high HR/FB rate but has glimpses of potential shown in a three-start stretch before being hit hard against the Diamondbacks.
Jake Irvin is familiar to the Braves, who had success against him recently, setting the stage for an interesting pitching matchup in their series.
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