"That is pretty much the entirety of his case for the award, as his ERA is pretty much entirely smoke and mirrors off of a fine but unspectacular performance, with a 3.59 FIP, 3.81 xERA, and 4.27 xFIP. Horton has a 2.1 fWAR and a 2.0 bWAR, even as bWAR is typically more friendly to ERA shenanigans (their formula has more nuance than ERA, but also is based on actual runs, rather than fWAR's FIP-based formula)."
"As we all likely know by now, this award wouldn't just be a great accomplishment for Drake, it also would bring a pick at the end of the first round to the Braves' franchise, along with upwards of $3 million in bonus money, which is a huge deal. It's pretty ridiculous that such a large teambuilding asset hangs in the balance of Baldwin winning this award with no consolation for finishing second and pretty arbitrary parameters, but here we are."
Cade Horton finished the season with a 2.67 ERA over 118.0 innings alongside a 3.59 FIP, 3.81 xERA, and 4.27 xFIP. Horton's metrics include 2.1 fWAR and 2.0 bWAR, while Fangraphs' RA9 WAR sits at 3.5, suggesting run prevention outpaced underlying performance. Drake Baldwin has roughly 3.0 fWAR and represents the clearest rookie-season value in the National League, especially at catcher. The NL Rookie of the Year outcome will determine whether the Braves receive an end-of-first-round compensatory pick and about $3 million in bonus pool money, making the vote consequential for team-building.
Read at Battery Power
Unable to calculate read time
Collection
[
|
...
]