
"Since homo sapiens first emerged, humanity has enjoyed an unbeaten 300,000-year run as the most intelligent creatures on the planet. However, thanks to rapid advances in artificial intelligence (AI), that might not be the case for much longer. Many scientists believe that the singularity - the moment when AI first surpasses humanity - is now not a matter of 'if' but 'when'."
"And according to some AI pioneers, we might not have much longer to wait. A new report from the research group AIMultiple combined predictions made by 8,590 scientists and entrepreneurs to see when the experts think the singularity might come. The findings revealed that AI experts' predictions for the singularity keep getting closer and closer with every unexpected leap in AI's abilities. In the mid-2010s, scientists generally thought that AI couldn't possibly surpass human intelligence any time before 2060 at the earliest."
Humanity maintained cognitive supremacy for about 300,000 years. Rapid advances in artificial intelligence now threaten that supremacy and make an intelligence singularity plausible within years or months. Predictions from 8,590 scientists and entrepreneurs were combined to estimate timing, and expert forecasts have shifted earlier after sudden AI breakthroughs. In the mid-2010s many forecasted no surpassing before 2060, while some industry leaders now estimate the singularity could arrive in as little as three months. Singularity requires systems that combine human-level thinking with superhuman speed and rapidly accessible near-perfect memory, and would likely involve machine consciousness, though consciousness lacks a precise definition.
Read at Mail Online
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