Sam Altman thinks AI will surpass human intelligence by 2030. His rival AI billionaires say it'll be even sooner | Fortune
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Sam Altman thinks AI will surpass human intelligence by 2030. His rival AI billionaires say it'll be even sooner | Fortune
"I would certainly say that by the end of this decade, by 2030, if we don't have extraordinarily capable models that do things that we ourselves cannot do, I'd be very surprised,"
"I can easily imagine a world where 30% to 40% of the tasks that happen in the economy today get done by AI in the not very distant future,"
"I think these qualities will be increasingly important in the world of AI,"
"We'll have an incredible tool at our disposal, but we still have to figure out what to do, what other people want, and what other people will find useful."
Rapid advances in AI since ChatGPT's launch have shortened timelines for human-level AI. Projections place human-level AI by 2030, with models by 2026 potentially highly capable. A major AI company's newest model is already reported to outperform its CEO. Some estimates foresee AI performing 30–40% of current economic tasks in the near future. Other researchers forecast even faster timelines, with some predicting parity within a few years. Human judgment and understanding of others' needs will remain important alongside powerful AI tools.
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