A recent study revealed that experts believe the risk of a human-caused pandemic is estimated at 0.3% per year. However, this risk could quintuple to 1.5% annually if AI can offer expert-level virology advice. Researchers also assessed current AI tools against a virology benchmark and found these tools surpass PhD-level experts in complex lab troubleshooting tasks. This performance raises alarms about how AI may facilitate the creation of dangerous viruses or biological threats.
Experts polled about the risk of a human-caused pandemic estimated it at 0.3% per year, which increases to 1.5% per year with AI's assistance in virology.
The study indicates that AI tools today can outperform PhD-level virologists at complex troubleshooting tasks, heightening concerns about potential pandemic risks.
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