"He used chess as an example: 15 to 20 years ago, a human checking AI's output could beat an AI or a human playing alone. Now, AI can beat people without that layer of human supervision. Amodei, who cofounded AI lab Anthropic in 2021, added that the same transition would happen in software engineering. "We're already in our centaur phase for software," Amodei said. "During that centaur phase, if anything, the demand for software engineers may go up. But the period may be very brief.""
"The CEO added that it may be unfair to compare this to the shift fromfarming to factory to knowledge work revolution because that happened over centuries or decades. "This is happening over low single-digit numbers of years," he said. Amodei is among the most prominent voices warning that AI could erase some white-collar work, especially in law, finance, and consulting."
Human engineers and AI are forming a centaur model in which AI augments human oversight, as seen in chess where AI now outperforms humans without human checking. Software engineering is entering the same centaur phase, potentially increasing demand for engineers briefly before rapid automation. Entry-level white-collar roles face substantial disruption within a few years, with forecasts suggesting up to 50% of entry-level jobs could be disrupted in one to five years. Forecasts project service-job automation within roughly 18 months, while other views argue AI will boost engineer productivity and increase hiring.
Read at Business Insider
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