Defending deep at a cost: Milan paying the penalty for ceding the box
Briefly

Defending deep at a cost: Milan paying the penalty for ceding the box
"Calciomercato.com writes that the Roma penalty was the seventh that the Rossoneri have given away this season, more than anyone else in Serie A. Mike Maignan has saved two, so the cost of this is not as great as it could've been. However, this is an alarming number of spot kicks conceded, and there are tactical faults for this. Massimiliano Allegri's team sits in quite a low block, and whilst the defensive numbers have improved, they are far from perfect."
"A penalty is deemed to be worth around 0.76 xG, but some believe it can go as high as 0.79. Now, if the Diavolo have conceded seven penalties this year, this is equal to around 5.32 xG, or five goals. Whilst xG is not an exact science, players can miss 0.99 xG chances, it offers a pretty good idea of the defensive quality available."
"They must 'make the leap in quality' at the back and become impenetrable, and this is what Allegri himself seeks if a Scudetto is to be achieved with this group. In October, Allegri discussed what is needed for the Scudetto, and stated that 'around 25-30 goals' would bring a top two place. So far, a fifth, so to speak, of this amount has been conceded in penalties from the xG calculations."
AC Milan have conceded 17 goals in 22 Serie A matchdays this season. The Rossoneri have given away seven penalties, the most in Serie A, with goalkeeper Mike Maignan saving two. Conceded penalties equate to about 5.32 xG, roughly five goals, which significantly increases defensive cost. Tactical faults and a low defensive block contribute to recurring errors at the back. Massimiliano Allegri seeks a defensive quality leap to become impenetrable if the Scudetto is to be achieved. Allegri stated that conceding around 25–30 goals would support a top-two finish; penalty xG already accounts for about a fifth of that target.
Read at SempreMilan
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