CorSport: Numbers demonstrate why Leao remains a 'high-variance asset' for Milan
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CorSport: Numbers demonstrate why Leao remains a 'high-variance asset' for Milan
"With Leao on the pitch, the Rossoneri have generated 1.70 xG (Expected Goals) per game so far, compared to 2.16 xG without him. It must be noted Rafa has missed seven games against lower-quality opponents: Cremonese, Lecce, Bologna, Udinese, Verona, Bologna and Parma."
"With Leao on the pitch, Milan have conceded 11.82 shots per game, and without him it is 8. It suggests that the Diavolo are more unbalanced when he is present and perhaps have less tendency to press in an organised way."
"One thing is certain: Leao was placed at the centre of the project by the incoming coach Massimiliano Allegri, who decided from very early on in preseason that he wanted to use a 3-5-2 and that the former Lille man would partner Pulisic up top."
Rafael Leao has been central to AC Milan's recent discussions following a controversial incident during the Lazio match where he expressed frustration over not receiving a pass from Christian Pulisic. Coach Massimiliano Allegri positioned Leao as a key component of his 3-5-2 formation, pairing him with Pulisic upfront. However, statistical analysis reveals concerning trends: while Leao has scored 10 goals this season, Milan generates 1.70 xG per game with him compared to 2.16 without him. Defensively, the team concedes 1.32 xGA with Leao versus 0.45 without him, and allows 11.82 shots per game with him versus 8 without. These metrics suggest Milan appears more unbalanced and less organized defensively when Leao is on the pitch, though the quality of opposition faced during his absences must be considered.
Read at SempreMilan
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