The latest polling showing Trump ahead of Harris has positively impacted the stock price of Trump Media, causing shares to rise over 7% in initial trading.
Nate Silver's forecasting model indicates Trump winning all critical swing states over Harris, which could lead to a significant Electoral College advantage.
Despite recent gains, Trump Media's stock is still down 70% from its peak in March, reflecting ongoing volatility and uncertainty in the market.
The upcoming expiration of a lockup provision could allow Trump to sell his shares; however, it raises questions about market impact and his investment strategy.
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