In most of the rest of the country, including California, the outcome of the race is effectively predetermined. However, California's status as a blue state is an oversimplification that belies a much more nuanced reality.
Harris' advantage in national polls is only a reflection of current voter sentiment, and public opinion is likely to shift in the coming weeks. Additionally, presidential races are not decided by popular vote.
The outcome will likely hinge on voters in a handful of closely contested swing states. In these states, both Trump and Harris are polling so closely that either one has a reasonable chance of winning in November.
To garner the 270 electoral votes necessary to win the White House, either candidate will first need to persuade voters in battleground states.
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