Joe Biden may win the popular vote but not the election, as per Polymarket prices, while Trump has only a 36% chance of winning the popular vote.
Polymarket blocks U.S. users following a regulatory settlement, contrasting with PredictIt, a U.S. election betting site that gives Trump and Biden different winning percentage predictions.
A contract on Biden accepting crypto donations had a timeframe of nine days but ultimately resolved to 'no.' Another contract related to Barron Trump's involvement was subject to dispute twice.
Speculations on Barron Trump's involvement with the Martin Shkreli-backed DJT token are based on limited evidence, as there have been no public statements from the Trump campaign or Barron.
#prediction-markets #election-outcomes #regulatory-settlements #crypto-donations #political-speculations
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