A recent NBC poll has Biden losing against Trump for the first time, with 70 percent of voters in the key 18-to-34 demographic disapproving of his performance, chiefly on the basis of his handling of the Israel-Gaza war.
The rightward drift in polling among non-white voters is likely more an organizing-and-mobilization challenge than a persuasion one.
More troubling for Biden is the evident failure of a strong overall economy to translate into a second-term mandate for the incumbent president-a trend in defiance of a good deal of orthodox political science.
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