Assuming the polls are right, the Tories will do worse than in 1906, with an outgoing government securing more votes than the current scenario. Today's voters seem weary of the Tories, unaffected by mixed economic news.
Living standards improved over the past year, but have fallen in the 2019-24 parliament. History shows that governments lose popularity when citizens face a decline in living standards, a critical factor in upcoming elections.
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