"Alphabet is one of the world's most dominant technology platforms, operating a global portfolio of services spanning Search, YouTube, Android, Chrome, Google Cloud, and digital advertising infrastructure. The company controls the largest share of global search traffic and online video consumption, giving it unparalleled data scale and monetization power. Alphabet's business is reinforced by deep network effects, massive computing infrastructure, and expanding AI capabilities across consumer, enterprise, and cloud workloads."
"Total Present Value of FCFs = $340.4B Terminal Value Calculation Using perpetuity growth model with 2029 FCF = $95B: TV = (95 × 1.03) ÷ (0.10 − 0.03) = $1,397.9B Present Value of Terminal Value = $972.6B Enterprise Value Enterprise Value = 340.4B + 972.6B = $1,313.0B Net Debt Cash & Equivalents: $98.5B Total Debt: $33.7B Net Debt = -$64.8B Equity Value & Per-Share Value Equity Value = 1,313.0B + 64.8B = $1,377.8B Shares Outstanding: ~12.08B Intrinsic Value per Share ≈ $114"
Alphabet operates a global suite of services including Search, YouTube, Android, Chrome, Google Cloud, and digital advertising infrastructure, with leading shares in search traffic and online video. Forecasted free cash flows rise from $75B in 2025 to $95B in 2029, with a total present value of $340.4B. A perpetuity terminal value at 3% growth yields a present value of $972.6B and an enterprise value of $1,313.0B. Net cash of $64.8B produces an equity value of $1,377.8B and an intrinsic per-share value near $114. The current market price near $316 implies a negative margin of safety of about 64%.
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