The Futures Lab at CSIS is exploring the use of AI to enhance diplomacy, supported by the Pentagon's Chief Digital and AI Office. Alongside routine tasks, AI is being tested for high-stakes decisions like crafting peace agreements and preventing nuclear conflict. Various international players, including the UK and Iran, are also investigating AI's diplomatic applications. Notably, research has shown significant differences in AI models' responses to crisis scenarios, indicating potential for pacifism or aggression in decision-making.
Researchers tested AI models by asking them thousands of questions on deterrence and crisis escalation. The results showed distinct differences in pacifism versus aggression among models.
While AI's integration into foreign policy is in its infancy, it holds potential for crafting peace agreements, preventing nuclear war, and monitoring ceasefire compliance.
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