#voting-behavior

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#election-predictions

Inside presidential election simulation that predicted the 2024 winner

Stardock's 'The Political Machine' predicts Trump's win in the upcoming election using detailed voter demographic simulations.

Humans Can Make Better Choices In Elections Than A Monkey, Right? Right?

Human voting decisions may be influenced more by primitive instincts than by rational thinking.

Inside presidential election simulation that predicted the 2024 winner

Stardock's 'The Political Machine' predicts Trump's win in the upcoming election using detailed voter demographic simulations.

Humans Can Make Better Choices In Elections Than A Monkey, Right? Right?

Human voting decisions may be influenced more by primitive instincts than by rational thinking.
moreelection-predictions
#2024-election

Why the 'secret vote' is dominating the election's last days

The 2024 election may see a significant number of voters choosing candidates in secret, reflecting personal values over public opinions.

What you need to know about Election Day exit polls

Exit polls provide vital insights into voter demographics and key issues impacting election results.

Axios Vibes: Dems close enthusiasm gap among Latinos

Latino voters show higher enthusiasm and motivation to vote after a notable shift away from previous trends.

Why the 'secret vote' is dominating the election's last days

The 2024 election may see a significant number of voters choosing candidates in secret, reflecting personal values over public opinions.

What you need to know about Election Day exit polls

Exit polls provide vital insights into voter demographics and key issues impacting election results.

Axios Vibes: Dems close enthusiasm gap among Latinos

Latino voters show higher enthusiasm and motivation to vote after a notable shift away from previous trends.
more2024-election
#gen-z

What issues are Americans facing this election?

Gen Z is set to play a crucial role in the upcoming US elections, prioritizing issues over party loyalty.

Gen Zers are most likely to lie about who they're voting for

Gen Z is the most secretive about voting intentions, with nearly half admitting to lying about their choices.

America's youngest voters become major election liars

Half of Gen Z voters have lied about their voting choices, highlighting a trend of self-censorship due to political polarization.

What issues are Americans facing this election?

Gen Z is set to play a crucial role in the upcoming US elections, prioritizing issues over party loyalty.

Gen Zers are most likely to lie about who they're voting for

Gen Z is the most secretive about voting intentions, with nearly half admitting to lying about their choices.

America's youngest voters become major election liars

Half of Gen Z voters have lied about their voting choices, highlighting a trend of self-censorship due to political polarization.
moregen-z
#gender-gap

The women cancelling out' their Trump-loving partners' votes: No one will ever know'

Women are increasingly highlighting political differences with partners through social media as they vote.

Opinion | A Democratic and a Republican Pollster Agree: This Is the Fault Line That Decides the Election

The gender gap in 2024 presidential politics is unprecedented, particularly pronounced when analyzed through the lens of educational attainment.

The women cancelling out' their Trump-loving partners' votes: No one will ever know'

Women are increasingly highlighting political differences with partners through social media as they vote.

Opinion | A Democratic and a Republican Pollster Agree: This Is the Fault Line That Decides the Election

The gender gap in 2024 presidential politics is unprecedented, particularly pronounced when analyzed through the lens of educational attainment.
moregender-gap

'Ballots in the dumpster'

Claims of widespread voting fraud in Spalding County were debunked but continue to influence voter beliefs in the area.
#political-dynamics

The Rise of the Post-Marxist Electorate

Wealthier, better-educated voters increasingly align with Democrats, promoting progressive economic policies despite traditional self-interest dynamics.

Cock-up, rather than conspiracy, the likely cause of Cleverly's surprise exit

James Cleverly's surprising exit from the Conservative leadership race highlights the unpredictability of political dynamics, driven more by mistakes than calculated maneuvers.

The Rise of the Post-Marxist Electorate

Wealthier, better-educated voters increasingly align with Democrats, promoting progressive economic policies despite traditional self-interest dynamics.

Cock-up, rather than conspiracy, the likely cause of Cleverly's surprise exit

James Cleverly's surprising exit from the Conservative leadership race highlights the unpredictability of political dynamics, driven more by mistakes than calculated maneuvers.
morepolitical-dynamics
#public-opinion

US presidential election 2024: How accurate are the polls?

Pollsters are adopting new methods to better gauge voter sentiment, especially among reluctant respondents. Accuracy issues were highlighted in the 2016 and 2020 elections.

Most Americans Are Voting With Climate Change in Mind. These Places Don't Care

A significant number of Americans consider candidates' views on climate change important, but regional differences show notable apathy in certain areas.

Google Trends decides: Who won the 2024 presidential debate? - Queerty

Public interest in the debate winner surged, with over 5 million Google searches reflecting immediate reactions from the audience.

Biden Is the Candidate Who Stands for Change in This Election

The majority of swing state voters express dissatisfaction with the American system and feel it needs a major shakeup or to be torn down entirely.

US presidential election 2024: How accurate are the polls?

Pollsters are adopting new methods to better gauge voter sentiment, especially among reluctant respondents. Accuracy issues were highlighted in the 2016 and 2020 elections.

Most Americans Are Voting With Climate Change in Mind. These Places Don't Care

A significant number of Americans consider candidates' views on climate change important, but regional differences show notable apathy in certain areas.

Google Trends decides: Who won the 2024 presidential debate? - Queerty

Public interest in the debate winner surged, with over 5 million Google searches reflecting immediate reactions from the audience.

Biden Is the Candidate Who Stands for Change in This Election

The majority of swing state voters express dissatisfaction with the American system and feel it needs a major shakeup or to be torn down entirely.
morepublic-opinion
#elections

Why Are Close Elections So Common?

Mathematical models can effectively explain why elections in democratic countries often result in very close races.

Harris and Trump Are Deploying Party Defectors Very Differently

Defector support is crucial in the polarized presidential election, with Harris aligning with Republicans disenchanted with Trump.

Why Are Close Elections So Common?

Mathematical models can effectively explain why elections in democratic countries often result in very close races.

Harris and Trump Are Deploying Party Defectors Very Differently

Defector support is crucial in the polarized presidential election, with Harris aligning with Republicans disenchanted with Trump.
moreelections

Peering Into the Minds of the Moderate White Women Who Might Just Save Us From Trump

White women's voting patterns in swing states are shifting due to key issues such as abortion, potentially impacting the reelection of Donald Trump.

Greene: It's not what Obama said to Black men, it's how he said it

Encouraging unity and respect is crucial in mobilizing Black men for Kamala Harris, rather than alienating them with lectures about voting.

Betting Markets Favor Trump. But Their Record of Accuracy Is Mixed.

Polls and prediction markets show differing predictions for election outcomes, creating an ongoing debate about their accuracy and reliability.
#political-influence

The V.P. Debate Might Boost Vance and Walz, but It Probably Won't Shift the Polls

Vice-presidential debates rarely impact voting choices despite increasing voter familiarity with candidates.

UK response to Gaza and Kashmir conflicts will influence ethnic minority election vote in London, survey finds

60% of Pakistani Londoners consider a political party's stance on Kashmir as vital for their vote.

The V.P. Debate Might Boost Vance and Walz, but It Probably Won't Shift the Polls

Vice-presidential debates rarely impact voting choices despite increasing voter familiarity with candidates.

UK response to Gaza and Kashmir conflicts will influence ethnic minority election vote in London, survey finds

60% of Pakistani Londoners consider a political party's stance on Kashmir as vital for their vote.
morepolitical-influence

This man is everything': how devoted Trump supporters took over the Republican party in a Michigan city

Debra Ell successfully leveraged Donald Trump's brand to engage non-traditional Republican voters in a swing area.

The 3 Surprising Personality Traits of Undecided Voters

Swing voters are informed and discerning, valuing pragmatic solutions over ideological extremes in their decision-making processes.
#undecided-voters

Who's Still Undecided Between Harris and Trump?

The distinction between undecided voters is critical in understanding electoral dynamics.

The Undecided Voters Who Could Decide the 2024 Election

Many still undecided in the election are not caught between Harris and Trump; rather, they belong to a larger group of irregular voters.

Who's Still Undecided Between Harris and Trump?

The distinction between undecided voters is critical in understanding electoral dynamics.

The Undecided Voters Who Could Decide the 2024 Election

Many still undecided in the election are not caught between Harris and Trump; rather, they belong to a larger group of irregular voters.
moreundecided-voters
#politics
from english.elpais.com
1 month ago
US Elections

Education, religion and ethnicity: What do Republican and Democratic voters look like in 2024?

The political landscape is increasingly polarized, marked by significant demographic and ideological differences between Democratic and Republican voters.

I'm a true-blue Democrat - but I've joined the GOP and back Donald Trump

Gloria Romero, a former Democratic senator, is now voting for Trump due to disillusionment with the Democratic Party's current direction.

Education, religion and ethnicity: What do Republican and Democratic voters look like in 2024?

The political landscape is increasingly polarized, marked by significant demographic and ideological differences between Democratic and Republican voters.

I'm a true-blue Democrat - but I've joined the GOP and back Donald Trump

Gloria Romero, a former Democratic senator, is now voting for Trump due to disillusionment with the Democratic Party's current direction.
morepolitics

How to measure dissent in Labour's landslide majority

The impact of a large majority in Parliament allows the government to absorb dissent and opposition without significant consequence.

Tory leadership candidates fail to inspire in new poll

Voter recognition of Tory leadership candidates is low, with only Priti Patel being known to over half of focus group participants.

Survey: Women oppose leaving abortion to the states

Trump's soft stance on abortion contrasts sharply with the strong opposition among women to leaving abortion decisions to the states.

The Myth of Female Unelectability

Today's voters do not systematically discriminate against female candidates.

Godalming and Ash voters: tell us which issues will decide this election

The Guardian is seeking input from residents of Godalming and Ash on key election issues for an upcoming report.

Disinformation often gets blamed for swaying elections, but the research isn't so clear

Disinformation and misinformation can influence voting behavior.
Defining and categorizing disinformation is a challenge for researchers.

What the Polls Are Saying After Trump's Conviction

One in ten registered Republicans and one in four independent voters were less likely to vote for Trump after his conviction.

Why was worrying' general election turnout so low, and will it ever recover?

Voter turnout in the UK general election hit a low not seen since 2001, with only 59.9% participation, reflecting a trend of decreasing voter engagement over the years.
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