So, Can We Trust the Polls?Trusting polls as accurate predictors of election outcomes is problematic.The pandemic's impact on polling accuracy in 2020 remains a critical factor.
Can We Really Predict the Presidential Election?The wisdom-of-the-crowd effect could improve the accuracy of predicting elections over traditional polling methods.
Klein: Fretting about election polls? Go do literally anything elsePolling data can be misleading, especially in close elections, and errors are not always random, often favoring one candidate.State-level polls have consistently underestimated support for Trump, questioning the reliability of polling leading up to crucial elections.
So, Can We Trust the Polls?Trusting polls as accurate predictors of election outcomes is problematic.The pandemic's impact on polling accuracy in 2020 remains a critical factor.
Can We Really Predict the Presidential Election?The wisdom-of-the-crowd effect could improve the accuracy of predicting elections over traditional polling methods.
Klein: Fretting about election polls? Go do literally anything elsePolling data can be misleading, especially in close elections, and errors are not always random, often favoring one candidate.State-level polls have consistently underestimated support for Trump, questioning the reliability of polling leading up to crucial elections.
Long before Polymarket, election polls and predictions were always a form of popular entertainment with a checkered record of accuracyElection polls are both entertaining and influential, shaping narratives despite their history of inaccuracy.
4 Theories Why Trump Is Winning Big In The Betting MarketsThe D.C. court ruling on election betting raises concerns about potential influence on electoral integrity.
Opinion | Ignore the PollsPolls have historically been inaccurate, often favoring one candidate over another.Voters should exercise caution when interpreting polling data ahead of elections.
Opinion | The Election Is in 10 Weeks. These 3 Things About the Polls Keep Me Up at Night.Polling provides insights but remains an imperfect science with historical inaccuracies affecting predictions.The interest in election polling heightens as Election Day approaches, revealing complexities in accurate forecasting.
Why Robert F. Kennedy's Jr.'s current presidential polling numbers might not hold up into NovemberThird-party candidate polling momentum can be misleading, not reliable for election outcomes.
Opinion | Ignore the PollsPolls have historically been inaccurate, often favoring one candidate over another.Voters should exercise caution when interpreting polling data ahead of elections.
Opinion | The Election Is in 10 Weeks. These 3 Things About the Polls Keep Me Up at Night.Polling provides insights but remains an imperfect science with historical inaccuracies affecting predictions.The interest in election polling heightens as Election Day approaches, revealing complexities in accurate forecasting.
Why Robert F. Kennedy's Jr.'s current presidential polling numbers might not hold up into NovemberThird-party candidate polling momentum can be misleading, not reliable for election outcomes.
Nate Silver critiques the new 538 forecast modelNate Silver critiques the new FiveThirtyEight election forecast model, emphasizing its questionable accuracy and unusual behavior.
Why do election polls seem to have such a mixed track record? - Harvard GazettePolling has evolved after inaccuracies in past elections, with a focus on improving methodologies and understanding political dynamics.
The Battlegrounds Where Harris-vs.-Trump Polling Error Is LikeliestPolling inaccuracies have impacted election outcomes in key states, necessitating a closer examination of polling methodologies leading into 2024.
Why do election polls seem to have such a mixed track record? - Harvard GazettePolling has evolved after inaccuracies in past elections, with a focus on improving methodologies and understanding political dynamics.
The Battlegrounds Where Harris-vs.-Trump Polling Error Is LikeliestPolling inaccuracies have impacted election outcomes in key states, necessitating a closer examination of polling methodologies leading into 2024.
The Problem With a Crowd of New Online PollsThe promise of online polling has largely failed, with many companies underperforming since 2012.
The Polls Are Right This Time ... Right?Pollsters remain skeptical about trusting current polling data after previous inaccuracies in predicting election outcomes.
The Problem With a Crowd of New Online PollsThe promise of online polling has largely failed, with many companies underperforming since 2012.
The Polls Are Right This Time ... Right?Pollsters remain skeptical about trusting current polling data after previous inaccuracies in predicting election outcomes.
Opinion | How Trump Wins (and Harris and the Democrats Blow It)Trump's campaign blunder in defining Kamala Harris nearly cost him victory, highlighting a pattern of self-sabotage yet attaining surprising electoral success.
The Polls Have Shifted Toward Harris. Is It Real, or Something Else?The accuracy of polling relies heavily on the concept of recalled vote, which has proven inconsistent historically.
Opinion | How Trump Wins (and Harris and the Democrats Blow It)Trump's campaign blunder in defining Kamala Harris nearly cost him victory, highlighting a pattern of self-sabotage yet attaining surprising electoral success.
The Polls Have Shifted Toward Harris. Is It Real, or Something Else?The accuracy of polling relies heavily on the concept of recalled vote, which has proven inconsistent historically.
Should Biden be worried about losing Black voters to Trump? podcastDonald Trump may receive significant Black voter support.Polling accuracy in representing Black voters is debated.