"The United States could maintain such a blockade militarily for months, in some scenarios even for more than a year, according to international security expert Shahin Modarres. This blockade is aimed at restricting Iran's oil exports and increasing pressure on Tehran's leadership."
"Iran's chief negotiator, Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, stated that the blockade is against the fragile truce currently in place and that the reopening of the Hormuz Strait would not be possible as long as such serious violations continued."
"Modarres views the blockade as an instrument for the gradual, controlled weakening of the Iranian regime, drawing parallels with the final years of the Iran-Iraq war when Tehran was under constant military and economic pressure."
"The Hormuz disruption puts both Iran and the global economy under strain, and Modarres emphasizes that the only losers in such a scenario are the population, regardless of whether the war continues or ends without structural changes."
The US Navy has been blocking Iranian ports since mid-April to restrict oil exports and increase pressure on Iran's leadership. International security expert Shahin Modarres states that the blockade could be maintained for months, potentially over a year. Iran's chief negotiator, Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, claims this action violates the fragile truce and prevents the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Modarres views the blockade as a means to weaken the Iranian regime, drawing parallels to the Iran-Iraq war, while noting the negative impact on the population and global economy.
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