
"Enten began by telling anchor Sara Sidner, I will just note it is never, never too early to talk about this because these guys are running already, even if they haven't formally declared. They're already running, and JD Vance is running well ahead of the field. I mean, take a look here. Top chances to be the 2028 GOP press nominee, the prediction market odds."
"Look at this: JD Vance, 48% chance. Nobody else is even close. Marco Rubio is way back at 12%, and no one else is even above a 5% chance of being the 2028 GOP nominee. JD Vance is like Mario Andretti, and Marco Rubio and the rest of the field, they're like going around in go-karts at this point. I mean, that's really what we're looking at. JD Vance is the clear, heavy favorite at this time, Enten added."
"Is there any other polling that would back this up, this prediction market from Kalshi saying, Hey, look at this number?' Enten replied, Yeah, this number is not coming out of nowhere. And I will note, of course, you know, he's not at 50% plus yet, but when nobody else is even close, that makes you a clear heavy favorite."
JD Vance holds a commanding lead in New Hampshire GOP measures and in prediction markets, with Kalshi showing a 48% chance and a New Hampshire poll placing Vance at 51%. Other potential candidates trail far behind: Marco Rubio at 12% in prediction odds, Nikki Haley at 9% in the New Hampshire poll, and Tulsi Gabbard at 8%. The margins in New Hampshire give Vance a 42-point advantage over the next closest contender. Such dominant early standing makes Vance the clear heavy favorite for the 2028 GOP nomination in current indicators. Strong early leads could influence whether other Republicans enter or refrain from running.
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