CNN Data Guru Calls Trump A Huge, Huge Drag' on GOP Candidates, Predicts Democratic Sweep

"The common denominator here is Donald Trump, said Enten, and Democrats are on the precipice of delivering a huge blow to Donald Trump. Democrats were leading all the key races, said Enten, with New Jersey governor really the only close one, with Democrat Mikie Sherrill up six points. In Virginia, Spanberger was up ten, and Mamdani was up 16 points in New York."

"Sidner asked for more information about how Trump was affecting these races. Look, Donald Trump is a yuge, yuge drag in all these races, replied Enten, borrowing Trump's common pronunciation of huge, and pointing out the president's underwater popularity in these state polls. That meant, Enten continued, that these races, in my mind, could be yuge bellwethers going into next"

Democrats led key contests with Mikie Sherrill up six points in New Jersey, Abigail Spanberger up ten in Virginia, and Zohran Mamdani up sixteen in New York City. Democratic candidates covered a broad ideological spectrum from a self‑described Democratic socialist to a moderate, yet all prioritized opposition to Donald Trump. Trump's approval was underwater in these states and nationally, creating a significant drag on Republican prospects. Historical patterns show a Democratic sweep of New York City, New Jersey, and Virginia often precedes House gains for Democrats the following year, making these races potential bellwethers for 2026.

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