"After compiling a perfect coaching pedigree -- he played for Bill Walsh, Tom Osborne and Bill Belichick and coached for Frank Solich and Chip Kelly -- and going unbeaten at UCF in 2017, former Nebraska quarterback Scott Frost returned to Lincoln to save a flailing Cornhuskers program. It was perfect timing, and it seemed as if there were approximately a 100% chance of things working out beautifully. Frost went 16-31 and was fired early in his fifth season."
"After leading Cincinnati to extended success (53-10 from 2018 to 2022, including making the 2021 College Football Playoff), former Ohio State player and longtime Buckeyes assistant Luke Fickell took the Wisconsin head coaching job. He had a great résumé, had proved his player development chops and had modern ideas but was grounded in Big Ten physicality. It was a perfect hire."
"The two most perfectly logical college football hires of the past decade either didn't work out or haven't to date, proving that the process of grading coaching hires immediately after they're made is almost completely pointless. We never know how coaches will handle their new surroundings, and so much is determined by the school doing the hiring (or, in some cases, plain old luck)."
Scott Frost returned to Nebraska after a stellar pedigree and an unbeaten UCF season but went 16-31 and was fired early in his fifth year. Luke Fickell arrived at Wisconsin after a 53-10 run at Cincinnati and a CFP appearance, offering player development strength and modern ideas; three years later he was 17-21 and Wisconsin posted its worst record in 35 years at 4-8. These examples show that immediately assessing coaching hires is unreliable because success depends on coach fit, institutional conditions, and elements of chance amid college football's shift to player compensation.
Read at ESPN.com
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