Dollar at risk on rate cut expectations - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com
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Dollar at risk on rate cut expectations - London Business News | Londonlovesbusiness.com
"The dollar could remain under pressure, as it hovers near multi-week lows, and could extend last week's losses, as markets continue to expect additional interest rate cuts. The latter could continue to weigh on the greenback and US treasury yields. Attention now turns to a dense macro calendar that could define market direction in the weeks ahead. Tuesday's release of delayed nonfarm payrolls data for October and November will be closely scrutinised for confirmation of labour market cooling."
"Retail sales data, expected to remain subdued around 0.2%, will also be important in assessing the resilience of the US consumer. Later in the week, November inflation figures will provide another critical input. Stable or decelerating inflation could reinforce the dovish narrative and validate expectations for an extended easing cycle, while a clear upside surprise would likely challenge current market pricing for interest rates and support yields and the dollar."
The dollar is hovering near multi-week lows and faces continued pressure as markets price additional interest rate cuts. Softer US Treasury yields are contributing to the greenback's weakness. A dense macro calendar includes delayed nonfarm payrolls for October and November, where weak readings would bolster expectations for multiple 2026 rate cuts and further weigh on both the dollar and yields. Retail sales, expected around 0.2%, will test US consumer resilience. November inflation data later in the week will be decisive: stable or slowing inflation would reinforce a dovish outlook, while an upside surprise would support yields and the dollar.
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