"Hamburger's stalemate with St Pauli on January 23 reflected their ongoing attacking struggles. They failed to fashion a single clear‑cut chance and produced only 0.35 expected goals, barely above their opponents' 0.33 xG. Merlin Polzin's side hold a fragile three‑point cushion over 16th‑placed Mainz-who occupy the relegation playoff berth-but the table remains compressed, with just two points separating them from 10th‑placed Köln."
"Hamburger have failed to score in their last two fixtures and have managed more than one goal in only two of their previous 14 matches across all competitions. Their recent form shows no wins from five outings, a run comprising three draws, seven goals conceded and two clean sheets. Despite these issues, their home form offers some encouragement. Die Rothosen are unbeaten in their last four Bundesliga games at the Volksparkstadion."
Hamburger SV sit 14th with 18 points after a goalless draw with St Pauli and hold a fragile three-point cushion over 16th-placed Mainz. The home side created no clear-cut chances and produced only 0.35 expected goals in that match. Hamburger have failed to score in their last two fixtures and have more than one goal in only two of their previous 14 matches. The club are unbeaten in four Bundesliga home games at the Volksparkstadion. Yussuf Poulsen remains sidelined with an ankle injury, with Ransford Königsdörffer, Fabio Vieira and Damion Downs options up front. Bayern Munich lost 2-1 to Augsburg, ending their perfect league record, but recovered with a European victory.
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