"Ben Solak, Seth Walder and Matt Bowen bring different perspectives into how they approach sports betting. Solak leans on his expertise in player evaluation and the X's and O's to find edges, while Walder relies on statistical models to pick out plus-expected value bets. Bowen, a former NFL safety, predicts positive matchups and game winners from tape study and his understanding of the league."
"Solak: In division rematches, I often default to the team that lost the previous matchup (in this case, the Ravens) winning the following game. Doubly so when the loss was a little silly, as the Ravens turned the ball over five times in their 32-14 Thanksgiving Day loss to the Bengals. But this is just not a good matchup for Baltimore. Since Week 9, the Ravens' defense is first in EPA per designed run but 14th in EPA per dropback."
Three analysts apply different methods to identify betting edges. Solak uses player evaluation and X's and O's, Walder uses statistical models, and Bowen uses tape study and NFL experience. Picks can include spreads, money lines, totals, and defensive player props. Results are tracked with flat one-unit wagers per listed bet. Week 15 features Bengals (+124) at Ravens. Since Week 9, the Ravens' defense ranks first in EPA per designed run but 14th in EPA per dropback, favoring the Bengals' dropback-heavy attack. Ja'Marr Chase has topped 100 receiving yards in his past three outings against the Ravens. Tee Higgins may be in concussion protocol.
Read at ESPN.com
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